Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242154           2          13          62          19           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112037           3           5          66          17           9        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.23619e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            79           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.75        5.50       54.50       30.25        8.00     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      X3.3