Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244074           3          14          55          23           5        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114971           3           3          73          18           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.43907e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            89           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             2.00        4.25       57.00       30.00        6.75     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0