Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244604           4          13          54          24           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115852           3           2          71          23           1        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   1.50581e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            96           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
 
together                             2.00        3.75       53.75       33.75        6.75     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      M6.5