Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243263           3          17          55          22           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112332           3           6          67          16           8        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   1.32512e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            81           2           1          63          28           6        C6.5
 
together                             2.25        6.00       52.50       31.25        8.00     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      C5.0