Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242057           2          15          61          18           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111425           3           8          64          16           9        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   1.28897e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            88           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             1.75        5.75       55.50       29.25        7.75     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0