Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242460           1          14          62          20           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111818           3           7          64          17           9        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   1.35938e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            83           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             1.50        5.50       52.25       32.50        8.25     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.8