Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239863           1          13          62          22           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105352           3          15          57          20           5        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   1.11555e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            46           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             2.25       13.00       51.25       27.25        6.25     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C6.7