Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239657           2          12          62          22           2        C3.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104864           3          15          58          19           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   1.05717e-06           1           0          28          57          14        M1.7
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             3.25       18.75       46.50       26.25        5.25     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8