Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239247           3          15          59          21           2        C3.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104328           2          17          56          21           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   9.82719e-07           1           0          36          54           9        M1.2
est. ISN   =            30           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                             2.75       19.50       48.00       26.00        3.75     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      X1.8