Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241219           3          13          66          16           2        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105727           3          14          57          21           5        C4.1
GOES Xray  =   1.33529e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            68           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             2.00        8.75       53.75       29.75        5.75     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      M2.0