Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236845           1          29          58          10           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000981415           3          21          52          21           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   8.33221e-07           1           0          53          37           9        C8.4
est. ISN   =            73           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.25       14.00       54.50       25.75        4.50     C4.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5