Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238989           4          17          57          20           2        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102082           3          17          56          22           2        C2.4
GOES Xray  =   1.01930e-06           1           0          30          59          10        M1.4
est. ISN   =            73           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             2.25       10.00       49.25       34.00        4.50     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9