Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237082           1          28          58          12           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100773           1          17          55          24           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   7.14673e-07           1           0          56          34           9        C8.5
est. ISN   =            65           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             1.50       14.00       58.00       22.75        3.75     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4