Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234466           4          48          35          12           1        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000977395           3          24          52          18           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   6.09980e-07           1           0          65          31           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            59           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.50       22.75       53.50       19.25        2.00     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3