Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233564           4          45          38          13           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000961149           2          31          51          14           2        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   4.47453e-07           1           1          82          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.00       23.50       58.50       14.75        1.25     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9