Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233763           2          46          40          12           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000958937           2          31          53          13           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   4.44664e-07           1           1          82          15           1        C3.8
est. ISN   =            48           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             2.25       24.75       59.50       12.25        1.25     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C6.2