Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00254660           1           2          69          25           3        C4.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00128297           2           2          63          30           3        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   3.31092e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            95           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.00        1.25       56.75       34.50        6.50     C7.8
 
realized                                                                                      X1.1