Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249349           1           3          64          30           2        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120186           1           4          63          29           3        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   2.47929e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            99           1           1          67          26           5        C6.1
 
together                             0.75        2.25       54.75       36.00        6.25     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      M2.7