Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233415           3          48          37          12           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000954389           1          35          49          14           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   4.16920e-07           1           2          80          15           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =            33           7          48          32          13           0        B8.9
 
together                             2.75       33.50       49.50       13.50        0.75     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.0