Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237137           1          28          57          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102316           3          16          55          22           4        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   7.66622e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.9
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.00       15.50       56.50       23.50        3.50     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      M5.4