Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249169           1           3          63          31           2        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00122655           1           1          66          29           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   1.81534e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            80           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             0.75        2.00       54.75       36.50        6.00     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      C6.6