Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247704           1           6          62          27           4        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119891           1           4          61          31           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.63023e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            88           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             0.75        2.75       55.00       35.25        6.25     C7.2
 
realized                                                                                      M3.0