Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242578           1          15          61          20           3        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111554           3           8          64          16           9        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   1.22821e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            72           1           5          54          36           4        C7.0
 
together                             1.50        7.00       51.00       32.75        7.75     C6.8
 
realized                                                                                      C8.3