Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238936           5          17          56          20           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103914           3          19          55          18           5        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   9.54393e-07           1           0          41          48          10        M1.1
est. ISN   =            63           5          12          56          25           2        C3.7
 
together                             3.50       12.00       52.00       27.75        4.75     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      M3.7