Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237920           5          26          55          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102384           3          16          55          22           4        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   7.97435e-07           1           0          51          40           8        C9.8
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             2.25       15.00       56.75       22.25        3.75     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      M9.5