Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237465           2          26          60          10           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101003           1          17          55          24           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   8.20839e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =            79           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.00       11.75       58.25       24.50        4.50     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      M2.7