Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242493           1          14          62          20           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108691           3          15          65          14           3        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   1.48261e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           113           1           0          55          36           8        C8.4
 
together                             1.25        7.25       52.00       32.25        7.25     C6.3
 
realized                                                                                      X4.5