Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00258931           3           4          60          29           4        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00139107           1           0          61          33           5        C6.9
GOES Xray  =   3.12719e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           119           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             1.25        1.00       49.50       40.50        7.75     C9.2
 
realized                                                                                      X2.9