Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00250744           1           5          61          31           2        C5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00127531           2           3          60          32           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.70392e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           110           1           0          57          35           7        C8.3
 
together                             0.75        2.25       51.00       39.25        6.75     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      M7.2