Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246714           3          14          54          22           7        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00121348           1           4          64          28           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.29447e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            86           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             1.25        4.75       51.00       35.25        7.75     C8.0
 
realized                                                                                      C6.7