Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247422           2           9          62          24           3        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00122080           1           3          64          28           4        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   1.43726e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           100           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             1.00        3.50       54.00       35.00        6.50     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.9