Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244742           4          14          52          25           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114809           3           3          74          18           2        C4.1
GOES Xray  =   1.39086e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            73           1           6          54          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             2.25        5.75       51.25       34.25        6.50     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      C7.4