Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249838           1           3          61          34           1        C5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00121386           1           4          64          28           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   2.10045e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            89           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             0.50        2.25       56.25       35.25        5.75     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      C8.9