Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244026           3          14          55          23           5        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111910           3           6          64          18           9        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.53463e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            91           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             2.00        5.00       54.50       30.00        8.50     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0