Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246868           2          13          56          23           6        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00118999           1           6          62          29           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   1.67559e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           127           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             1.00        4.75       48.75       38.00        7.50     C8.4
 
realized                                                                                      M4.8