Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247507           1           7          62          26           4        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00121396           1           4          64          28           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.71367e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           131           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.50        3.00       50.75       38.50        7.25     C8.5
 
realized                                                                                      M2.4