Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00257289           1           4          65          25           5        C5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00138089           1           0          60          34           5        C7.1
GOES Xray  =   2.35694e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           102           1           1          66          27           5        C6.0
 
together                             1.00        1.25       54.00       36.25        7.50     C8.1
 
realized                                                                                      M6.1