Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00257670           2           6          62          26           4        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00138440           1           0          60          34           5        C7.1
GOES Xray  =   2.44971e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           102           1           1          66          27           5        C6.0
 
together                             1.25        1.75       53.25       36.50        7.25     C8.2
 
realized                                                                                      M9.7