Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243777           3          13          54          25           5        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113941           2           3          71          21           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.34085e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            94           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.75        4.00       54.75       32.50        7.00     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      M3.2