Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243995           3          14          55          23           5        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113947           2           3          71          21           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.45652e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            95           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.75        4.25       55.25       31.75        7.00     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      M2.4