Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244201           3          15          53          24           5        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114172           3           3          72          19           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   1.37460e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            88           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             2.00        4.50       55.50       31.50        6.50     C7.2
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3