Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240586           3          13          64          18           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107903           2          12          66          17           3        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   1.06897e-06           1           0          26          59          14        M1.8
est. ISN   =            84           1           1          59          34           5        C6.8
 
together                             1.75        6.50       53.75       32.00        6.00     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5