Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00250037           1           4          61          33           1        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00123114           1           0          66          30           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.98733e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            92           1           0          76          18           5        C4.7
 
together                             0.50        1.50       57.00       35.00        6.00     C7.2
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1