Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00251544           1           3          65          28           3        C5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00125931           1           3          62          32           2        C5.4
GOES Xray  =   2.10321e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            98           1           1          68          25           5        C5.9
 
together                             0.75        2.00       55.00       36.00        6.25     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      M5.7