Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253067           1           0          66          28           5        C5.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00128813           1           2          62          32           3        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   2.23785e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            85           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             0.75        1.00       53.00       38.25        7.00     C8.6
 
realized                                                                                      C6.6