Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00262841           2           6          59          30           3        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00143405           1           1          60          32           6        C6.9
GOES Xray  =   3.45569e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            91           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.00        2.00       54.50       35.25        7.25     C8.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.8