Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00255351           1           3          66          28           2        C5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00134013           1           0          65          29           5        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   2.25017e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            86           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             0.75        1.00       54.25       37.00        7.00     C8.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0