Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244324           4          14          53          24           5        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00118261           2           5          62          28           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.18453e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            85           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             2.00        5.00       49.75       36.25        7.00     C7.9
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4