Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00250098           1           4          62          32           1        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00127407           2           3          60          32           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.61971e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            74           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             1.00        4.00       50.50       39.00        5.50     C8.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0