Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00251427           1           3          65          28           3        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00128340           1           2          64          30           3        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   1.81709e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            67           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             0.75        3.25       55.50       35.00        5.50     C6.8
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1